If you remember what happened in the last 80 years, everyone was amazed at the computer, typing something on the keyboard, and something wonderful would happen.
At the time, this magical feeling happened in the field of automatic driving in 2017. Artificial intelligence will soon become the foundation of the future computer. It can identify and analyze real-world driving scenarios.
But like the inevitable trend in the field of science and technology, this is the beginning of a hot cycle. Everyone is starting to develop an autonomous driving system. At present, there are dozens of companies in the world, both large and small, all developing or cooperating to develop their own autonomous driving technology. In the past year, many startup companies have demonstrated their own artificial intelligence drive systems. Many of them are very doubtful, and a few companies, such as AImotive and CommaAI, seem destined to be the fate of being acquired, or have hope to become part of the industry standard. However, we do not expect this situation to change much in 2018.
"The autopilot industry has just started and it will take years of development," said Danny Shapiro, senior director of automotive business at NVIDIA. When many companies build artificial intelligence hardware systems, NVIDIA is committed to the development of software algorithms. Just as Shapiro described the amount, any standard on automotive artificial intelligence technology may become the protagonist of the future in the early stages of the game.
In fact, in the next 10 years, we hope to see integration. Car manufacturers or large technology companies will gradually swallow or acquire smaller start-up companies, which will include these artificial intelligence talents and technologies. This is a story that happens every year in Silicon Valley. For example, in 2017, Intel acquired MobileEye, and GM cooperated with Uber after investing in Lyft. Now, Waymo has also begun to cooperate with Lyft.
But for autopilot technology, such risks are high. In addition to expanding driving methods and changing the city traffic, autonomous driving technology has the mission of saving lives. Of course, if it is an electric car, it will also reduce carbon dioxide emissions. At present, most of the driverless test cars are electric cars or hybrid cars, but the driving style is more conservative than human driving.
But in the end, the whole industry still needs a standard. In the next day, self-driving cars will hit the road, but there will be confusion if there is no government-related standard to manage the interaction between these cars and the city. Because consumers, city managers, and car manufacturers all need to comply with unified regulations while competing. For example, if different companies have different strategies for dealing with crossroads, then the consequences may be even worse than the situation created by human drivers. I believe everyone understands this.
Different companies have some differences in the use of artificial intelligence technology, data analysis, and hardware deployment. For example, Mercedes-Benz uses laser radar to extract information that is used to measure and map real-world goals. Instead of trying to deal with individual elements in the picture, it creates a block of data called Stixels. At the same time, Tesla believes that his system does not require laser radar data to help the development of unmanned technology.
BMW is currently developing its own artificial intelligence technology and let us see the future. “We think there must be an industry standard,†said Peter Schwarzenbauer, a BMW board member and responsible for digital business innovation. “However, the outcome is still not predictable at the moment.†In the future, not too many different standards should be seen around the world. In addition to measures from regulators, auto manufacturers need to adjust for different sales countries and regions. Your own artificial intelligence system algorithms and rules. This is not an easy task, but if such an agreement can be reached in the future, it will benefit all parties.
In 2018, we expect to see more autopilot technology news, whether it be Waymo, Mercedes, GM, Intel, Nissan or other large technology companies. Almost all companies have stated that they have the most advanced artificial intelligence training system, not only on the road, but also many new attempts based on cloud technology. However, there are also some small characters on the market, such as AImotive and CommaAI. These companies either emerged suddenly or disappeared overnight. But their main destination is to find partners, such as Intel and Ford, or GM and Lyft (now Uber).
In 2017, everything comes from artificial intelligence. Next year, companies should begin to honor their promises and let auto-pilot technology become a reality. Because in the end our life will be changed by these new technologies.
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